Early morning riding has limited my time to update this page. See the Meteoblue forecast below.
Updated June 4th at 8:30 AM.
The forecast correlation for this analysis Excellent+ at 95%.
For the Nelson County Weather Analysis, I cross-reference 16 weather forecasts, using four different forecasting models, the US model, (GFS), the European model, (ECMWF, considered by forecasters to be the most accurate), the Canadian model, (GEM), and the Swiss model, (Meteoblue, known for its accuracy in and around mountains). I then give the greatest weight to the estimates that have had the highest accuracy over the last five days. When all of the forecasts are in agreement, I have a high confidence level that my assessment is accurate, and when the predictions disagree, my confidence level drops.
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